At. Nacional vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIL
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 2
PAS
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAC
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 1
PAT
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
CAD
69%
21%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 1
ALM
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GBR
0 - 0
PAT
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 0
PAT
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |