Palestino vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
PAL
5 - 4
SAN
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
PAL
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
EST
1 - 5
PAL
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 1
OHI
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
ATM
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
CRZ
0 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
FOR
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
FOR
12%
22%
66%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |