Athletico Paranaense vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ATP
1 - 0
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATP
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 2
ATP
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
ATP
1 - 0
LIB
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ATP
1 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGP
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 2
CDG
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
ATM
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ADT
2 - 1
ALI
23%
30%
48%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ALI
6 - 1
BIN
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |