San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
CCS
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
PAL
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
SLO
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
FOR
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
EST
1 - 5
PAL
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
EST
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
MIN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |